On January 1, 2009, an article by Michael Asher entitled “Sea Ice Ends Year at Same
Level as 1979” appeared on the Daily Tech website. We have received many requests
for confirmation and clarification on this article from media outlets and interested
individuals regarding the current state of the cryosphere as it relates to climate change
and/or global warming.
One important detail about the article in the Daily Tech is that the author is comparing
the GLOBAL sea ice area from December 31, 2008, to same variable for December 31,
1979. In the context of climate change, GLOBAL sea ice area may not be the most
relevant indicator. Almost all global climate models project a decrease in the Northern
Hemisphere sea ice area over the next several decades under increasing greenhouse
gas scenarios. But, the same model responses of the Southern Hemisphere sea ice
are less certain. In fact, there have been some recent studies suggesting the amount of
sea ice in the Southern Hemisphere may initially increase as a response to atmospheric
warming through increased evaporation and subsequent snowfall onto the sea ice.
(Details: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/06/050630064726.htm )
Observed global sea ice area, defined here as a sum of N. Hemisphere and S.
Hemisphere sea ice areas, is near or slightly lower than those observed in late 1979, as
noted in the Daily Tech article. However, observed N. Hemisphere sea ice area is
almost one million sq. km below values seen in late 1979 and S. Hemisphere sea ice
area is about 0.5 million sq. km above that seen in late 1979, partly offsetting the N.
Hemisphere reduction.
Global climate model projections suggest that the most significant response of the cryosphere to increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations will be seen in Northern Hemisphere summer sea ice extent. Recent decreases of N. Hemisphere summer sea ice extent (green line at right) are consistent with such projections. [See link below for the graph.]
Arctic summer sea ice is only one potential indicator of climate change, however, and we urge interested parties to consider the many variables and resources available when considering observed and model-projected climate change. For example, the ice that is presently in the Arctic Ocean is younger and thinner than the ice of the 1980s and 1990s. So Arctic ice volume is now below its long-term average by an even greater amount than is ice extent or area.
Link to pdf file: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/global.sea.ice.area.pdf
Blog Archive
-
▼
2009
(1326)
-
▼
March
(91)
- Seth Borenstein: Spring keeps coming earlier for ...
- NSIDC: Arctic sea ice annual maximum extent for 20...
- Ric Williams, North Atlantic Oscillation could be ...
- T. Mochizuki, T. Awaji, N. Sugiura, GRL, 36, Possi...
- Takashi Mochizuki et al., Understanding sea temper...
- Van Jones, Power Shift '09, author of "The Green C...
- Thomas Friedman: Mother Nature’s Dow
- Chinese government spy system invades Dalai Lama's...
- James Hansen's comments on the New York Times Maga...
- Australia, citing national security, blocks state-...
- Gavin Schmidt of Real Climate shows how Patrick Mi...
- With all due respect… -- Real Climate on the Cato...
- R. F. Anderson et al., Science, Vol. 323, No. 5920...
- Robert Anderson et al., Science, Wind shifts may s...
- Ron Kirk asked to explain Obama’s position on U.S....
- J. A. Lowe et al., Environ. Res. Lett., Vol. 4, Ho...
- Jason Lowe, Met Office Hadley Centre: Even for ver...
- NASA's Earth Observatory: Sunspots at Solar Maximu...
- Michael Brooks: Space storm alert -- 90 seconds fr...
- Climate change myths and facts by Chris Mooney, Th...
- Joseph Romm: NYT Magazine profiles climate crackpo...
- Fred Pearce: Arctic meltdown is a threat to human...
- Coby Beck: A Few Things Ill Considered on scienceb...
- China, the largest polluter in the world, urges ne...
- Pancake ice takes over the Arctic by Nicola Jones
- J. F. McManus et al., Nature, Vol. 428, Collapse ...
- Joseph Romm: Washington Post publishes strong debu...
- George Monbiot: If we behave as if it's too late, ...
- Elizabeth Kolbert: Canadian tar sands, oil shale, ...
- Arctic sea ice minima and conditions discussed by ...
- Consequences of Arctic amplification -- Complete l...
- Arctic sea ice shrinkage, Arctic amplification, Gr...
- Leading climate scientist, James Hansen: 'democrat...
- NASA-MODIS image of Nepal forest fires and drought...
- At Copenhagen Congress, scientists give grim warni...
- Joseph Romm: Media ignores coming realization of ...
- The Netherlands prepares for sea level rise with a...
- Biochar: Is the hype justified?
- Gregory Johnson of NOAA, CLIVAR Project, finds war...
- Re: Elmar Kriegler et al. -- Climate roulette by J...
- B.J. Cook, R.L. Miller & R. Seager, PNAS, Amplific...
- E. Kriegler, J.W. Hall, H. Held, R. Dawson & H.J. ...
- M. Robinson, H.J. Dowsett & M.A. Chandler. Pliocen...
- Risk of extreme climate change accelerating, Copen...
- Jianjun Yin, Michael E. Schlesinger & Ronald J. St...
- Jianjun Yin et al., Sea Level Rise Due to Global W...
- K. Wang, R. E. Dickinson & S. Liang, Science, 323,...
- Stuart Gaffin's reply to Holman Jenkins of the Wal...
- Yahoo! News lets anti-global warming lies slip thr...
- Global dimming -- Aerosol pollution dims skies as ...
- A.D. Moy, W.R. Howard, S.G. Bray & T.W. Trull, Nat...
- ScienceInsider: Carbon Tax Proponents in Copenhage...
- Chris Goodall, Johannes Lehmann, Tim Lenton, Chris...
- Climate Wire -- the politics and business of clima...
- Suzanne Goldenberg reports from this week's gather...
- Global warming 'will be worse than expected' warn ...
- James Hrynyshyn: Sea level rise a red herring?
- Konrad Steffen, Eric Rignot, Stefan Rahmstorf, Joh...
- Stephen Barker et al., Oceanic seesaw links northe...
- Michael E. Mann, Faustian Bargain: Defining danger...
- Chinese naval ships harass an unarmed U.S. ship in...
- Joseph Romm: Shame on Richard Lindzen, MIT’s uber...
- Wonk Room: After his climate-denial machine is exp...
- Pieter Tans, Chris Field: Recession may help on t...
- NSIDC Arctic Sea Ice Extent Graph March 9, 2009 --...
- NSIDC Arctic Sea Ice Extent Graph March 3, 2009
- David Vaughan, Tad Pfeffer, Jason Lowe, Stefan Rah...
- Peter Clark, David Braaten, Hugh Ducklow, Douglas ...
- Public's inability to understand simple descriptio...
- M.C.A. Senna, M.H. Costa & G.F. Pires, JGR, Vegeta...
- M. C. A. Senna et al., Parts of Amazon close to ti...
- Noam Chomsky Excavates the George Will Memory Hole...
- Oceanographer Charles Moore talks about the Great ...
- Stefan Rahmstorf disputes Björn Lomborg's lies and...
- Gavin Schmidt, Real Climate, responds to RickA's l...
- SecularAnimist on Real Climate discusses the plain...
- Naomi Oreskes' video "The American Denial of Globa...
- Matthias Hofmann & Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber, PNAS...
- Nancy R. Buchan et al., PNAS, Globalization and hu...
- Climate Progress blog: Uncharacteristically blunt...
- Andrew Revkin: In Greenland, ice and instability...
- Dr. Waleed Abdalati explains how Greenland is melting
- Jason Box, David Bromwich, Richard Alley: Greenl...
- REVEALED: Marc Morano’s Pack of Climate Denial Jokers
- Bracken Hendricks: Robert J. Samuelson’s Essential...
- Las Vegas running out of water means dimming Los A...
- George Monbiot: Climate change – The semantics of...
- Michael Asher's Daily Tech article "Sea Ice Ends Y...
- CERES Report: Looming water crisis could unravel w...
- Real Climate: What George F. Will Should Have Wri...
- List of February 2009 postings to Climate Change: ...
-
▼
March
(91)
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment