Blog Archive

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Historical Sea Level Rise by Neil White

HISTORICAL SEA LEVEL CHANGES

Last two decades

High-quality measurements of (near)-global sea level have been made since late 1992 by satellite altimeters, in particular, TOPEX/Poseidon (launched August 1992), Jason-1 (launched December 2001) and Jason-2 (launched June 2008). This data has shown a more-or-less steady increase in Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) of around 3.2 ± 0.4 mm/year over that period. This is more than 50% larger than the average value over the 20th century. Whether or not this represent a further increase in the rate of sea level rise is not yet certain.

The two plots below show the GMSL measured from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1 and Jason-2.

This one shows it with the seasonal signal removed:
Plot of global sea level from 1993 to 2008

And this shows it with the seasonal signal left in:


Regional trends

Sea level does not rise (or fall) uniformly over the oceans. This is illustrated by the map (below) showing sea-level trends from 1993 to 2009. There is a clear pattern of sea-level change that is also reflected in patterns of ocean heat storage.

Plot of sea level trends from 1993 to 2009


This pattern primarily reflects interannual climate variability associated with the El Niño/La Niña cycle. During El Niño years sea level rises in the eastern Pacific and falls in the western Pacific, whereas in La Niña years the opposite is true, as is shown (below) by the trends from two subsets of the same dataset.

Plot of sea level trends from 1993 to 2001 and 2001 to 2009

Movie of sea-level changes (2.4MB animated gif) over the last 17 years -- this version has had the seasonal (annual+semi-annual) signal removed at each point. This is comparable to the top figure (above).

Click on the map below to see a movie of monthly-mean sea-surface height from January 1993 to May 2010 with the seasonal signal removed. The plot at the top of the page shows the time series of the means of these fields.

The data that is displayed here can be downloaded from the "Sea level data & Data downloads" page on this site.


Note the 1997/98 El Niño event!

Sea surface height 1993-2010

Another movie of sea-level changes (2.5MB animated gif) over the last 17 years

Click on the map below to see a movie of monthly-mean sea-surface height from January 1993 to May 2010. The seasonal signal has not been removed from this, so you should see the pumping as the water in each hemisphere warms and expands in Spring and Summer and cools and shrinks in Autumn and Winter. The second plot (above) shows the time series of the means of these fields.

The data that is displayed here can be downloaded from the "Sea level data & Data downloads" page on this site.


Note especially the 1997/98 El Niño event!




Website owner: Neil White 25/08/10





Link:  http://www.cmar.csiro.au/sealevel/sl_hist_last_15.html

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