When we see records being broken and unprecedented events such as this, the onus is on those who deny any connection to climate change to prove their case. Global warming has fundamentally altered the background conditions that give rise to all weather. In the strictest sense, all weather is now connected to climate change. Kevin Trenberth
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Peter Sinclair: Antarctic Ice Loss Accelerating (also Greenland)
by Peter Sinclair, Climate Denial Crock of the Week, March 29, 2014
Above, NASA video discussing increased mass loss from Pine Island Glacier, the soft underbelly of the West Antarctic ice sheet. More evidence that the Antarctic Sheet is waking up.
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Six massive glaciers in West
Antarctica are moving faster than they did 40 years ago, causing more
ice to discharge into the ocean and global sea level to rise, according
to new research.
The amount of ice draining collectively from those half-dozen
glaciers increased by 77 percent from 1973 to 2013, scientists report
this month in Geophysical Research Letters, a journal of the American
Geophysical Union. Pine Island Glacier, the most active of the studied
glaciers, has accelerated by 75% in 40 years, according to the
paper. Thwaites Glacier, the widest glacier, started to accelerate in
2006, following a decade of stability.
Here, video from December with several scientist’s views on
accelerating ice sheets, and what the Earth’s history says about ice.
The study is the first to look at the ice coming off the
six most active West Antarctic glaciers over such an extended time
period, said Jeremie Mouginot, a glaciologist at University of
California-Irvine (UC-Irvine) who co-authored the paper. Almost 10% of the world’s sea-level rise per year comes from just these six
glaciers, he said.
“What we found was a sustained increase in ice discharge—which has a significant impact on sea level rise,” he said. The researchers studied the Pine Island, Thwaites, Haynes, Smith,
Pope and Kohler glaciers, all of which discharge ice into a vast bay
known as the Amundsen Sea Embayment in West Antarctica.
Below left, A satellite image of Pine Island Glacier shows an
18-mile-long crack across the glacier.
Researchers used cracks and other
physical features on the glaciers to calculate glacier acceleration by
comparing image data from year to year to see how far the cracks
traveled.
American Geophysical Union continued: The amount of ice released by these six glaciers each
year is comparable to the amount of ice draining from the entire
Greenland Ice Sheet annually, Mouginot said. If melted
completely, the glaciers’ disappearance would raise sea levels another
1.2 meters (four feet), according to co-author and UC-Irvine Professor
Eric Rignot.
The decades of increasing speeds and ice loss are “a strong
indication of a major, long-term leakage of ice into the ocean from that
sector of Antarctica,” noted Rignot.
“This region is considered the potential leak point for Antarctica
because of the low seabed. The only thing holding it in is the ice
shelf,” said Robert Thomas, a glaciologist at the NASA Wallops Flight
Facility, in Wallops Island, Va., who was not involved in the study. Ice
shelves are platforms of permanent floating ice that form where
glaciers meet the sea. In West Antarctica, ice shelves prevent the
glaciers investigated in the study from slipping more rapidly into the
ocean.
Mouginot and his colleagues used satellite data to look at sequential
images of the glaciers from 1973 to 2013. The scientists then
calculated how fast the ice was moving by tracking surface features,
such as cracks in the ice, to determine the distance the glaciers
traveled from month to month and year to year.
While the study considered the six glaciers collectively, it also
revealed unprecedented change on the individual glacier level. Thwaites
Glacier, the largest of the six with a width of 120 kilometers (75
miles), experienced a decade of near-stability until 2006, when its
speed picked up by 0.8 kilometers (half a mile) per year – a 33 percent
increase in speed, according to the study. This is the first time that
such changes on Thwaites Glacier have been observed, said Mouginot.
Of all the glaciers in the study, Pine Island Glacier accelerated the
most since 1973, increasing by 1.7 kilometers (one mile), per year.
That’s a 75% increase in speed from approximately 2.5 kilometers
(1.5 miles) per year in 1973 to 4 kilometers (2.5 miles) per year in
2013.
Both Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers contribute the most to overall
ice discharge—about three-fourths of the total amount documented in the
study. However, scientists also documented even higher rates of
increased discharge in some of the smaller glaciers. Smith and Pope
Glaciers nearly tripled the amount of ice they drained into the ocean
since 1973.
The research team also found that the Pine Island Glacier is
accelerating along its entire drainage system—up to 230 kilometers (155
miles) inland from where it meets the ocean.
“This paper is important in showing that a glacier can actually
‘feel’ what is happening far downstream of itself,” said Thomas. “It
means that if you disturb the ice sheet near the coast, the glaciers
will feel the push and rapidly respond hundreds of kilometers inland.”
This finding suggests that glacier acceleration models may need to be
reevaluated, Thomas added. Most current models only take into account
isolated speed changes resulting from a local disturbance, rather than
representing how these changes affect the glacier as a whole.
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